AMA on X

Many people may know that over the past few decades, the United States has relied on its dollar hegemony to create a dollar tide and harvest many countries. But when the United States created the dollar tide again, this time it overturned: even if Argentina, Egypt, Sri Lanka and other countries have surrendered, they still cannot satisfy the huge appetite of the United States. Essentially, the yen is the shadow currency of the US dollar. Moreover, this shadow seems to be obedient to the body (the United States) on the surface, but it actually hides evil intentions. Of course, Wall Street in the United States is not a vegetarian, Japan has always had US troops stationed, and the Tokyo District Prosecutor's Office was single-handedly concocted by MacArthur, pinching the lifeblood of Japan, the country's wealth controller, and taking it from life and death. These two essences must be seen clearly! ☆ ☆ The depth and breadth of Japanese assets are fully capable of wreaking havoc on the dollar system and the U.S. bond market, which could eventually lead to a complete outbreak of the U.S. debt crisis. Japan's long-term policy of zero interest rates has led to large-scale capital flight from Japan, most of which has flowed to the U.S. bond market. In addition, the U.S. dollar's interest rate hike has led to a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields, which has further stimulated the inflow of U.S. dollar capital into the U.S. bond market. Assuming that yen inflation is accompanied by interest rate hikes against this backdrop, Japan could siphon trillions of dollars of liquidity from Central Europe. Especially in the U.S. bond market, the outflow of capital from the yen and the U.S. dollar will send shockwaves to the U.S. bond market. If Japan really does this, it will be equivalent to launching a financial version of the "sneak attack on Pearl Harbor" against the United States again. However, judging from the continued pressure on the U.S. to raise interest rates on the yen, although the U.S. still has control over Japan, the U.S. does not want the yen to raise interest rates now. On the contrary, if the dollar chooses to open the floodgates at this time, it will be tantamount to announcing in disguise that the era of the dollar tidal harvest is completely over, and the dollar Ponzi scheme is one step closer to collapsing. Therefore, for Japan as a country, raising interest rates is naturally good for its own debt pressure to ease, but it has had an impact on US interests, and I am afraid that it is not so easy to achieve. Then, the current expectation of continuous intensive yen interest rate hikes is still brewing and hype, and this thing is very doorway: is there a possibility that Japan and the United States are singing double reeds in financial policy, and the drunkard is not drinking? ☆ ☆ On the other hand, the scale of the U.S. debt has soared in the past two years, exceeding $34.5 trillion. What should we do if we can't cut leeks? The boss has something to do, and the younger brother obeys his work, and the United States has come up with a new idea: Let the yen raise interest rates and continue its great cause of raising interest rates. You must know that the investment of yen capital is spread all over the world, and by the end of 2022, Japan's overseas net assets have reached 418.6 trillion yen, or about 2.82 trillion US dollars. And that's just net worth, with some sources saying that Japan's actual total overseas assets are as high as $10 trillion, of which 57% are in bonds and 37% in equity investments. Therefore, when the yen raises interest rates, it will further recycle liquidity in the global market, and once someone can't hold on, the United States can swing the sickle and complete the harvest. Of course, this in itself is also a contest of patience and resilience, after all, the United States itself also has to bear the pressure of liquidity recovery, and it depends on who can't hold on first and becomes the first to fall.

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The fluctuation of the crypto assets market is often astonishing, and a recent project called Gorbagana has sparked widespread discussion. Originating from a conversation between the founder of Solana and a lawyer, this project cleverly combines the concepts of Gorbachev and "garbage," seemingly becoming a unique on-chain experiment. Gorbagana claims to be Solana's "garbage chain," attracting considerable attention with its parodic nature and ironic implications. This project not only challenges the traditional operation model of Crypto Assets but also provokes a deeper reflection on the decentralized essence of blockchain. Interestingly, despite being named "Gorbagana" which means "garbage," it attracted nearly 20,000 wallet addresses in just a few days, showcasing remarkable community vitality. This phenomenon may reflect the unique interest of crypto market participants in non-traditional and ironically themed projects. However, we must remain vigilant about the potential risks behind this phenomenon. Although Gorbagana is seen by some as a "movement", its future direction is still fraught with uncertainty. Investors should maintain rationality and carefully assess such high-risk projects. The emergence of Gorbagana undoubtedly provides us with a unique perspective to rethink the application boundaries and value definitions of blockchain technology. It reminds us that in the fast-changing world of Crypto Assets, innovation and irony are often just a thin line apart. Regardless of how Gorbagana ultimately evolves, it has already become an interesting footnote in the history of Crypto Assets, reminding us to remain alert and vigilant in this market filled with opportunities and risks.

Today, the Bitcoin market shows a step-like rising trend, with the price gradually climbing from $104,600 to a peak of $105,800. However, it was quickly affected by short-term pressure, falling back to around $104,800, and currently maintains a narrow fluctuation within that range. The intraday market shows that although Bitcoin is trying to break through the previous high, the subsequent momentum is insufficient, and the current fluctuation range has not yet been broken. From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the channel opening continues to expand upwards, reflecting a significant increase in short-term market volatility. However, strong resistance is formed near $105,800 on the upper band, and the opening pattern further indicates that the competition between bulls and bears is becoming increasingly intense. From the analysis of the four-hour cycle trend, Bitcoin has successfully broken through the downward trend line and has risen strongly, firmly standing above the important psychological level of 103,000 dollars, indicating that the market selling pressure has been fully released. However, there is still significant resistance at the 106,000 dollar level, which is the key resistance point for the current market. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin may encounter resistance near $105,700-$106,000, with support levels around $104,300-$103,400. If it breaks below, it may further drop to $101,000. As for Ethereum, it might face resistance around $2,440-$2,480, with support levels around $2,380-$2,350. Overall, although Bitcoin has recently shown a rise, whether it can break through the 106,000 USD level will be a key factor in determining the short-term trend. Investors should closely monitor the breakout situation at this level while being wary of potential pullback risks.