Federal Reserve December Rate Decision: 88.5% Probability of 25bp Hike, 11.5% of 50bp Increase

According to CME "Fed Watch", on November 10, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in December stands at 88.5%, while a 50 basis point increase carries an 11.5% probability. For January 2027, CME data shows a 59.2% probability of cumulative 50 basis point hikes, up sharply from 21.3% yesterday, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged fell to 0% from 11.8%.
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